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Please help me figure out how much chance of match if I am on ROL 6/10 in one University. There are only 4 slots. Thank you.

Pretty much 100%

But it's a very competitive program. I am so anxious since this is my only one IVed.

you need to ask the 5 people in front of you if they are going to take the spot. if not, then you have a 100% chance.

Hope this answer your worry

".......Remember one can not underestimate the importance of data. According to the NRMP 2009 data the probability of matching in Internal Medicine (IM) is 35% if you have 3 interviews, 50% if you have 5 interviews, 75% if you have 10 interviews. Many people are lucky to get 1 interview which corresponds to a 25% chance of matching in IM."

Thank you.

I understand your point, but I also know an applicant who got 11 IVs, but he didn't match last year. I am not talking about numbers of IV and chances of match. The key is programs are going to rank you or rank you high. For my case, I am only interested in this program due to personal issue. so only IVed there. Of course there is no way to ask other applicants who are in front of me on ROL. I know no answers!

I am thinking if 2 of them are taken by other programs, I will have 100% chance. Am I correct?

if u can get the information regarding the program"s ROL, then u can definitely trace down the applicants ahead of u.

only 2 people ahead of you need to get another position someplace else, your chances are very good, it is rare for programs to get their top choices like in your case, the top 4 for the 4 positions except if the program is extremely competitive, so I don't know how competitive this program is, do they usually get their top choice? You have a good shot, pray hard that 2 people get other spots and you will definitely get into the program

@mdusps
In this case yes 100%

@mdusps How do you know that you are on ROL 6/10???