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This is not true. The chances of matching (into at least the bottom program) is not related to how you rank them
* Re:Chances of Matching
#3272573
woodranch - 02/02/16 18:09
guys... it could be 100% from 1 IV or 0% from 15 IV... nobody knows... you need to think carefully when you rank the programs... that what matters!
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Pretty good chances. Just pray now.
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based on the 2013 nrmp for IMGs for IM
with 10 Contiguous Ranks in IM (ranking 10 IM programs continuously and IM program ranked as #1 ) your probability is around 82 %
for your friend, the probability was around 50%
Hope this helps.
source :NRMP-ECFMG-Charting-Outcomes-in-the-Match-International-Medical-Graduates-2014.pdf
page 75.
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If you have stellar personality you can match with 1 program. IF you have 30 interviews but your personality is shit or you are extremely awkward then you have 0%.
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Only using Non-US IMG pathology match last year's data: only 1 iv, 25% 2 IVs, 45%, 3 IVs 38%; 4 IVs 80%; 5 IVs 100%...7 IVs 83.3%, then from there upward, match possibility was gone down; 10+ interviews, un-matched possibility 25%. Very interesting. Also, Step 1>230, match possibility 60%; Step 2 CK>240, 70%.